Intelligence Reports/Insight Brief
Water Security and Supply Outlook in Jeddah cover

Insight Brief

Water Security and Supply Outlook in Jeddah

An assessment of whether water supply in Jeddah can keep pace with demand, and which sources, projects and policies will decide that. The desalination system that supplies Jeddah has grown since 2024: Shuaiba-5 now produces 665,000 m³/day against a 600,000 m³/day design, Shuaibah 3 Conversion has operated since May 2025 and Rabigh 4 is reported online. These are regional capacities serving Jeddah, Makkah and other towns of the Makkah Region. The city's latest indicators are leakage above 20% (2017) and an academic projection of demand rising from 335 MCM in 2017 to 779 MCM in 2030.

Geography
Saudi Arabia
Evidence current to
13 November 2026
Format
PDF
Length
11 pages
Edition
November 2026, First edition
Price
USD 249
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01

Executive overview

Key findings

665,000 m³/day: Shuaiba-5 desalination output after an 11% uplift above its 600,000 m³/day design (SWA, February 2026); it serves the Makkah Region

600,000 m³/day: Rabigh 4, reported online at full capacity (ACWA Power, Q1 2026); SWPC still lists it as under construction

335 MCM to 779 MCM: modelled Jeddah water demand, 2017 to 2030 (academic projection, base case)

More than 20%: leakage in Jeddah's distribution system (NWC, 2017), the latest city figure

02

Buyer relevance

Who the report is for

Desalination developers and PPP investors

Track the plants on the Rabigh–Jeddah–Makkah corridor, from Shuaibah 3.1 (2009) to Rabigh 5 (planned for 2030), with capacity and stage.

Network, metering and leak-detection suppliers

Use the 2017 leakage figure of more than 20% and the 2020 Smart Zones project as the Jeddah baseline for loss-reduction offers.

Risk and sovereign analysts

Separate regional capacity, city distribution and national targets when assessing Jeddah's exposure to plant, energy and transmission risk.

03

Decision scope

Questions answered

01

Where does Jeddah's water come from?

Desalinated Red Sea seawater from coastal plants such as Shuaiba-5 (665,000 m³/day) and Shuaibah 3 Conversion (600,000 m³/day), moved through the RJM system, which can supply the Makkah Region with up to 1.3 million m³/day.

02

Will Jeddah have enough water by 2030?

The only Jeddah projection is an academic model: demand rising from 335 MCM to 779 MCM, with a 2030 gap of 504 MCM that falls to 101 MCM with conservation and leakage cut to 10%. The model predates the 2024–2026 capacity additions.

03

What new supply is coming?

Shoaiba 6, about 500,000 m³/day, under construction since 29 October 2025, and Rabigh 5, 400,000 m³/day, planned for 2030; Al Ju'ranah adds 2,500,000 m³ of regional storage in 2027.

04

How much water does Jeddah lose?

More than 20% in its distribution system, including illegal connections, according to NWC's 2017 figure, the latest for the city.

04

Inside the report

Inside the complete report

Executive Snapshot

1. Why This Matters Now in Jeddah

2. Current Position

3. Key Programmes, Projects and Investment

4. Policy, Regulation and Institutions

5. Risks and Constraints

6. Strategic Implications

7. What to Watch

Source Register

05

Public preview

What to watch next

3. Key Programmes, Projects and Investment

Shoaiba 6 completion date; Rabigh 5 procurement; an NRW Phase 2; any Jeddah reuse contract.

4. Policy, Regulation and Institutions

Consumption data after the 2027 tariffs; SWA's next loss-reduction figure and its base.

1. Why This Matters Now in Jeddah

The Rabigh 4 entry in SWPC's portfolio; Shoaiba 6 progress; Al Ju'ranah commissioning.

2. Current Position

An updated leakage figure; SWA's next national production figure on a consistent definition.

Sample page · page 4 of 11

Supply assets serving Jeddah, with owner, capacity, stage and scope, and the city's demand and service indicators.

Report page with a table of desalination plants and the RJM transmission system serving Jeddah and the Makkah Region, followed by a table of Jeddah demand projections and leakage.

06

Included

What you receive

The complete PDF report: 11 pages, 9 sections, 9 tables and a register of 34 sources.

This edition

November 2026, First edition.

07

Evidence & method

Evidence and method

The report draws on Saudi Water Authority and Saudi Press Agency statements on plants and transmission, the Saudi Water Partnership Company portfolio, a King Abdulaziz University demand model using NWC data, GASTAT water accounts and trade reporting from MEED, MEES and Argaam, with plant stages re-checked on 13 November 2026.

Sources

34 sources, listed in the report's source register. Evidence current to 13 November 2026. Principal data periods: plant and project status as of 13 November 2026; Jeddah demand, consumption and leakage data for 2017 and the academic projection to 2030; network coverage and continuity as of January 2020; national water accounts for 2022–2023 and sector data for 2025. Currency is Saudi riyals (SAR) unless stated; US dollar values are given as published..

Evidence boundaries

This report uses authoritative source material available at the stated research cutoff. It distinguishes published facts, calculated values and analytical interpretation. No independent modelling is performed. Forward-looking analysis reflects published plans, documented trends and stated uncertainties. It does not constitute legal, financial, investment or engineering advice.

08

Lead analyst

Robert C. Brears

Founder, Our Future Water Intelligence

Robert C. Brears is a water-security specialist and author whose work examines utility governance, infrastructure investment, climate resilience and long-term water-system change for executive and policy audiences.

  • Decision-focused utility intelligence
  • Published water-policy author
  • Evidence-grounded system analysis

09

Buyer FAQs

Before you purchase

Who can use the report?

Licensed for internal use within one purchasing organization. The PDF and its contents may be shared with colleagues within that organization. External redistribution, resale and public publication are prohibited without permission.

How is the report delivered?

The PDF is available to download immediately after confirmed payment, through our secure delivery system.

Can my organization buy wider access?

Institutional purchasing: For invoice enquiries, multi-organization licensing or broader access requirements, contact Our Future Water Intelligence.

10

Water Security and Supply Outlook in Jeddah

Format
PDF
Length
11 pages
Edition
November 2026, First edition
Price
USD 249
Secure Stripe checkout · your paid edition is delivered privately in this browser.

11

Report details

Publication details

Publisher
Our Future Water Intelligence
Report family
Insight Brief
Edition
November 2026, First edition
Format
PDF
Length
11 pages
Reference
OFW_EXT_WATER_SECURITY_AND_SUPPLY_OUTLOOK_IN_JEDDAH_13e3151daad5
Evidence current to
13 November 2026

14

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